Bitcoin price scenarios
A reference range based on the current price and recent volatility.
- Price
- $80,395.00
- Annualized volatility
- 26.6%
| Horizon | Bearish | Base | Bullish | Holdings with staking rewards |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 days | $74,483.86 | $80,395.00 | $86,775.25 | 1 → 1.0353 BTC |
| 90 days | $70,434.00 | $80,395.00 | $91,764.72 | 1 → 1.1144 BTC |
| 1 year | $61,594.30 | $80,395.00 | $104,934.31 | 1 → 1.497 BTC |
Methodology
We calculate the standard deviation of log returns from hourly prices over the last 7 days and annualize it. The base scenario holds the current price, while the bearish and bullish scenarios assume a one standard deviation decline and rise. The staking row also shows how your coin holdings grow at the 365-day reward rate.
Price scenarios are statistical reference material only, not forecasts or investment advice. Actual prices may fall outside these ranges.